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and he's -- about a month -- two weeks ago the polls were broadly for obama. now it's closing a bit because of the male part. white males tend to be republican voters and they're coming back to romney a little bit after a bit. in ohio they're not. seems as if in ohio the bain capital message has sunk in. virginia, florida, the white vote will go to romney. >> what struck you about that apparent contradiction in the polling? >> i think you saw a little bit of that bounce kind of come down after the post-convention. you're seeing it sort of return to a place where it was very tight. you saw aa shift among independents in florida, which is what made up a lot of that shift. the striking thing about all three polls is how few persuadable voters there are. that's what these debates are usually about but it may wind up be something to turn out the base and fire up some of their people. >> one of the issue, i put this to both of you, one of the problems with mitt romney's campaign, which has been critiqued by those on the left and right, his friends and enemies, is th
and he's -- about a month -- two weeks ago the polls were broadly for obama. now it's closing a bit because of the male part. white males tend to be republican voters and they're coming back to romney a little bit after a bit. in ohio they're not. seems as if in ohio the bain capital message has sunk in. virginia, florida, the white vote will go to romney. >> what struck you about that apparent contradiction in the polling? >> i think you saw a little bit of that bounce kind of come...
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a brand new cnn/orc poll by the way shows most voters expect president obama to be tonight's big winner. 56% of likely voters out there think the president will do a better job in the debates. only 32% say mitt romney will do a better job. that low number may be mitt romney's big opportunity though. let's discuss with our chief political analyst gloria borger. are these debates, gloria, always harder for incumbents? >> i think it is. you look at the expectation game. people understand that president obama is a great speaker, they've seen him do other debates in the past. and they kind of remember them and think he's the sitting president, he'll do a better job. so he's got expectations running against him. then the other thing for the challenger is remember, wolf, this is really the first time that mitt romney and barack obama will be at the same level. so just by showing up to a certain degree mitt romney gets elevated standing on the same stage with the president. and here's another thing about the president, he has to defend his record without seeming to be defensive about it. and th
a brand new cnn/orc poll by the way shows most voters expect president obama to be tonight's big winner. 56% of likely voters out there think the president will do a better job in the debates. only 32% say mitt romney will do a better job. that low number may be mitt romney's big opportunity though. let's discuss with our chief political analyst gloria borger. are these debates, gloria, always harder for incumbents? >> i think it is. you look at the expectation game. people understand...
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president obama and governor romney in final preparations. the latest polls have the president remaining ahead but maybe by a narrower margin. in trade showing obama ahead by two about a 72% probability of being re-elected. our chief washington correspondent john harwood live at the event site in denver. john, what's the objective for romney tonight? what does he need to do? >> mitt romney's got a very big task. he's got to do a couple things at the same time. first he's got to find a way to dent the argument that bill clinton and barack obama made at the democratic convention about how president obama's done as well as anyone could do in turning the economy around the last four years. secondly, he's got to make a positive case with passion, with credibility for his own economic plans, for how he's going to make life better for 100% of americans. third, he's going to have to deal with that 47% video which has really taken a toll on his campaign. he's got to do all those things at the same time. we've seen the history of debates, tyler. it is
president obama and governor romney in final preparations. the latest polls have the president remaining ahead but maybe by a narrower margin. in trade showing obama ahead by two about a 72% probability of being re-elected. our chief washington correspondent john harwood live at the event site in denver. john, what's the objective for romney tonight? what does he need to do? >> mitt romney's got a very big task. he's got to do a couple things at the same time. first he's got to find a way...
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. >> from obama headquarters ben the thunder bolt labolt, thank you as always. >> after the break too little too late despite having months of alarming poll data the romney camp is seemingly only trying to play catch up with women and latino voters. ♪ [ male announcer ] you've reached the age where you don't back down from a challenge. this is the age of knowing how to make things happen. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask your doctor if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours. stop taking viagra and call your doctor right away if you experience a sudden decrease or loss in vision or hearing. this is the age of taking action. viagra. talk to your doctor. check out the latest collection of snacks from lean cuisine. creamy spinach
. >> from obama headquarters ben the thunder bolt labolt, thank you as always. >> after the break too little too late despite having months of alarming poll data the romney camp is seemingly only trying to play catch up with women and latino voters. ♪ [ male announcer ] you've reached the age where you don't back down from a challenge. this is the age of knowing how to make things happen. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20...
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this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the hispanic vote could be the deciding factor in several states, including the swing state of nevada. which is where miguel marquez takes us in the battle to win their vote. >> reporter: it might sound like mexico. but this is the fight for the white house. welcome to washo county, nevada, the front line in this battleground state. washo county's 250,000 voters are expected to decide whether the nevada goes blue or red. and latinos, about 30,000 votes here, could make the critical difference in a race that could come down to a few thousand votes. here'
this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the...
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the president obama also has about a 3-point lead in national polls according to the "wall street journal" nbc news one out most recently. senator rob portman has been playing the president as mitt romney prepares for the debate tonight. and he told cnn in an exclusive interview, it is his job to get under the candidate's skin and prepare him for the toughest attacks. portman has been the g.o.p. go-to guy for years. since 2000 he's played al gore, jon lieberman, john kerry and john edwards and now president obama. pretty malleable guy. he's reportedly been helping romney work on not getting overly defensive which is his weak point. he then tends to say things he wishes he hadn't. everyone has an opinion as to what to look for tonight. prettyies could -- politico has five things. first, can romney get aggressive without attacking. last thing he wants to do is come across snide or smug. how hard can the president push without getting too negative. he's not a big romney fan. we'll see if he can mask that true contempt. how will they handle the 47% libya, has the president had enough time to
the president obama also has about a 3-point lead in national polls according to the "wall street journal" nbc news one out most recently. senator rob portman has been playing the president as mitt romney prepares for the debate tonight. and he told cnn in an exclusive interview, it is his job to get under the candidate's skin and prepare him for the toughest attacks. portman has been the g.o.p. go-to guy for years. since 2000 he's played al gore, jon lieberman, john kerry and john...
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but swing states poll. you mentioned that mitt romney's closed the deficit among likely voters for obama from five points to three points. and in florida, he's closed from five down to one which is tied given the margin of error in our poll. in virginia, he has closed the gap from five to two. if you look at the state of ohio, a must-win state for mitt romney, mathematically possible for him to get to it without it but his strategists think he needs it. he needs to make progress there. but the fact that some of the national polls are coming back a little bit, some of the swing state polls are tightening, is a bit of an earn couragement for romney that he still has an opportunity for deficit with three or four points to change the dynamic in some way. he's got to hope that obama is not on his best game. you could have a scenario that like what happened in 2000 where george w. bush moved significantly without gore and ultimately became president. >> it's interesting that the poll also shows, as you mention, t
but swing states poll. you mentioned that mitt romney's closed the deficit among likely voters for obama from five points to three points. and in florida, he's closed from five down to one which is tied given the margin of error in our poll. in virginia, he has closed the gap from five to two. if you look at the state of ohio, a must-win state for mitt romney, mathematically possible for him to get to it without it but his strategists think he needs it. he needs to make progress there. but the...
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. >> recent poll shows president obama up a stun ing stunning 15. is that what you're seeing and hearing on the show? >> not really. our guest yesterday was blunt and called it garbage. when you're talking about that kind of poll, we call it an outlyer here in new hampshire, 15-point lead for the president is pretty obscure. it's much, much closer than that, much closer to the four to seven points that the president has been ahead since the convention. >> high profile, viral videos in roent weeks, one featuring mitt romney talking about the 47%, the other a 2007 video showing president obamab talking about race, the reverend wright and hurricane katrina. what are voters telling you? are these videos resonating? >> these voters are so worn down not only from the primary here in the state of new hampshire but over the past several months with the attack ads, back and forth, i don't know that they recognize either of the candidates if they weren't in slow motion in black and white. at the end of the day, i think what the voters are looking for is unles
. >> recent poll shows president obama up a stun ing stunning 15. is that what you're seeing and hearing on the show? >> not really. our guest yesterday was blunt and called it garbage. when you're talking about that kind of poll, we call it an outlyer here in new hampshire, 15-point lead for the president is pretty obscure. it's much, much closer than that, much closer to the four to seven points that the president has been ahead since the convention. >> high profile, viral...
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one is, why is ohio not, in your estimation, a lean obama state at this juncture in all the polling news? and secondly, in what states with early voting do you think another candidate's going to actually have a real advantage and get out to a lead that might be insurmountable on election day? >> reporter: well, i'm not sure that -- i'm not sure we would talk about ohio. i mean, i sort of -- let's see if anything moves after the first debate. i think this is going to be an interesting question for the romney campaign in a week. if the ohio numbers don't move, there is a strong case to be made. joe, you and i walked through this path, that he's got a path to 270. al gore had to make this decision in 2000. do you pull out of ohio? do you take the beating that you'll take for a day or two going oh, my god, you've pulled out of ohio just like al gore did in 2000. guess what? al gore made the right call. he almost pulled it off. some think he did pull it off by taking all those ohio resources, pouring them into florida, pouring them into michigan, pouring them into pennsylvania. does a dollar
one is, why is ohio not, in your estimation, a lean obama state at this juncture in all the polling news? and secondly, in what states with early voting do you think another candidate's going to actually have a real advantage and get out to a lead that might be insurmountable on election day? >> reporter: well, i'm not sure that -- i'm not sure we would talk about ohio. i mean, i sort of -- let's see if anything moves after the first debate. i think this is going to be an interesting...
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tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement. >> e.j. deon on why billionaires who do so well under obama can't stand the president. >>> and democrats with a victory for voters in pennsylvania, but republican voter fraud is getting swept under the rug here in colorado. tonight the latest on the rnc's voter fraud scandal. >>> good to have you with us. thanks for watching. we're coming to you tr from denver, colorado. the first presidential debate one day away. this is the romney pre-game show. will mitt romney be held accountable for lies and distortions about president obama's record? we got a sneak preview of what happens when mitt romney is forced to tell the truth. a fox affil
tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement....
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shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal infrastructure spending and what it can do to this country and the economy. >> i think you're absolutely right. that is the core message. it's we're in it together versus you're on your own. and to that point, mitt romney still has never really come up with a coherent explanation, because there isn't one, for his comments about the 47%. so as they're talking about the zingers he's been preparing for this debate and how he's been practicing for months, there's no verbal strik to get you out of that box. and there's also nothing you can do to avoid the fact that your positions have changed so
shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal...
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it's something more and more polls of independents and conservatives both say they feel the media has behaved badly. >> but president obama and people have gone to his -- to hawaii, traced his record, gone to kenya, talked to his relatives, gone to indonesia. we have sent people around the world. how has he not been vetted? >> well, consider this. this year, the new yorker wrote a huge spread on michele bachmann and her faith and religion, getting a lot of the theology wrong what she believes. in 2008, john mccain was endorsed by several pastors and it became multi-day stories in the media about john mccain's endorsements but the jeremiah wright stuff, you talk to a lot of reporters, they say barack obama never went to jeremiah wright's church. he just used that to build his political career in chicago. i as a conservative really don't think the media has portrayed barack obama's relationship with jeremiah wright as he himself did in 2008 and i still think that's a relevant topic. >> actually, bryce, let me bring you in here. then candidate obama in 2008 did make that speech in which
it's something more and more polls of independents and conservatives both say they feel the media has behaved badly. >> but president obama and people have gone to his -- to hawaii, traced his record, gone to kenya, talked to his relatives, gone to indonesia. we have sent people around the world. how has he not been vetted? >> well, consider this. this year, the new yorker wrote a huge spread on michele bachmann and her faith and religion, getting a lot of the theology wrong what...
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host: let's look at the latest presidential poll. president obama, 50%. mitt romney, 47%. how influential is it in the media chamber? guest: the campaigns are obsessing on the polls. the import numbers of the numbers in eight or nine key states. here's my beef about the coverage. we want to know who will win. it seeps into all the coverage when one candidate is down. everything he says is seen as a semi desperate attempt to close the gap. i think the coverage has become so poll-driven. it would be different if barack obama were down by five points. guest: i did not think we do a good job of getting into the middle of the country and talking to those folks. you're sitting in a studio. a poll comes across and now you have something that's right in front of you that you can talk about. because of budget cuts, you are not seeing the expense -- people are not spending the money to get people talking to people. guest: there are a relative handful of people that still go knocking on doors. you always learn something when you talk to voters. i think there should be more of that. g
host: let's look at the latest presidential poll. president obama, 50%. mitt romney, 47%. how influential is it in the media chamber? guest: the campaigns are obsessing on the polls. the import numbers of the numbers in eight or nine key states. here's my beef about the coverage. we want to know who will win. it seeps into all the coverage when one candidate is down. everything he says is seen as a semi desperate attempt to close the gap. i think the coverage has become so poll-driven. it would...
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polls show a close race. the nation ago average has obama leading romney 49-46. the economy is issue number one and whose plans are better for the middle class. to answer that we are holding our own debate right here on the kudlow report. we are joined by new jersey democratic congressman and jim gillmore to make the case for governor romney. there will be time to talk among your selves at my disgression. the first question is going to congressman big paskrel. 1.3% gdp 25 million people out of the workforce. mr. president, what is your solution to the prosperity and the recovery that continues to elude us? >> over the past 30 months we have had an increase in private sector jobs. but that is the direction we are going in. if you remember what happened before that, when the president raised his hand in january of 2009, we were losing 700 no,000 jobs a month. but the fact of the matter is we are going in the right direction now and we should keep doing that. the president supports the position on the creation of jobs and the government can't do everything but it ha
polls show a close race. the nation ago average has obama leading romney 49-46. the economy is issue number one and whose plans are better for the middle class. to answer that we are holding our own debate right here on the kudlow report. we are joined by new jersey democratic congressman and jim gillmore to make the case for governor romney. there will be time to talk among your selves at my disgression. the first question is going to congressman big paskrel. 1.3% gdp 25 million people out of...
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the polling average shows about 3.5 lead for barack obama right now. so it could be that this would be the rare election where yu actually -- >> this is a rare election. >> where you have debates that matter. >> what it does is give mitt romney to really crystallize the contract. the debate moments, those moments are important because they codify. remember '94 people thought he's too old, he's not going to make it and the second one he came back and saying he's not going to use my opponent's youth and inexperience against him. everybody laughed. >> this is a big thing for romney, right? romney needs zingers maybe at his own expense, right? >> he's going to toss one at himself? >> he's going to humanize ims himself. and being receive dep ro kating is better than having some canned overrehearsed line about president boem. >> that can be about policy too. i found when i was running it's when i said something people disagreed with me on they started to believe the other things i was saying. >> that's always been a problem for romney. >> and i think there i
the polling average shows about 3.5 lead for barack obama right now. so it could be that this would be the rare election where yu actually -- >> this is a rare election. >> where you have debates that matter. >> what it does is give mitt romney to really crystallize the contract. the debate moments, those moments are important because they codify. remember '94 people thought he's too old, he's not going to make it and the second one he came back and saying he's not going to...
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there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and if romney just holds his own, if he just lands a few punches, then the audience might actually think that romney won. so i suspect team obama is trying to lower expectations trying to say the debates don't matter precisely because they're worried that mitt romney will do a good job. >> speaking of throwing punches, let's go back to primary season, it was mitt romney really in his big win taking florida that was quite impressive for the former massachusetts governor. let me just -- in case we have forgotten his abilities, take a look. >> i want people to be able to take their insurance with th
there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and...
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brand new nbc news/"wall street journal" poll released just this minute looks at how closely people will be watching >> eamon javers in washington now with the latest. >> the stakes did just get a little bit higher for those debates in the presidential level this week. take a look at these results now from the new nbc news/"wall street journal" poll which we can bring you. the question asked to voters how important is the debate in picking a president? 38% staying is extremely or quite important. as you can see, that's higher than the respondents said in 2004 and in 2000. that's an interesting number but also interesting the folks who said it was somewhat or not at all important at 62%. that may be an indication that a lot of people in this country have already made up their minds, tyler. that might mean things are tough for those candidates who want to shake things up with this debate this week. >> very interesting. thank you very much a reminder to all of you tomorrow, president obama, governor romney do kick off the first of three presidential debates and cnbc will carry it live. our
brand new nbc news/"wall street journal" poll released just this minute looks at how closely people will be watching >> eamon javers in washington now with the latest. >> the stakes did just get a little bit higher for those debates in the presidential level this week. take a look at these results now from the new nbc news/"wall street journal" poll which we can bring you. the question asked to voters how important is the debate in picking a president? 38%...
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the same voters majority said i want to vote for obama anyway. and so wisconsin, he won it by 14 or 15 points some large margin in 2008. you can have the tide shift against you and have a big cushion there. >> wisconsin is this wonderful state, the state of robert, the great populist, joe mccarthy, not to draw connections between paul ryan and joe mccarthy and mitt romney. it was the recall that people didn't understand or feel was the right expression of protest against scott walker but the great occupation of the state house in support of workers, teachers, nurses, police, of wisconsin i think is going to play a role in this election where people came out to support a different kind of politics. >> i think we're reminding of the fairness of the american electorate, the fact they have more nuanced views than we ascribe them as having. in your book "the signal and the noise" you talk about the difference between hedgehogs, people who know one big thing and foxes, people who are more nuanced and know many things. i'm probably a hedge hog just decl
the same voters majority said i want to vote for obama anyway. and so wisconsin, he won it by 14 or 15 points some large margin in 2008. you can have the tide shift against you and have a big cushion there. >> wisconsin is this wonderful state, the state of robert, the great populist, joe mccarthy, not to draw connections between paul ryan and joe mccarthy and mitt romney. it was the recall that people didn't understand or feel was the right expression of protest against scott walker but...
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if you look at the poll, the one area where you see consistent movement poll after poll after poll toward barack obama has been with senior citizens. you know as well as i do, they are a consistent voting block. they go to the polls in larger percentages. has the obama administration been successful at branding the medicare plan of the republicans as voucher care and are senior citizens moving away because they're afraid of the medicare changes? >> the ryan budget plan existed in terms of the 2010 election when republicans won 65 plus seniors by 21 points. part of the dynamic that exists here is, in fact, seniors are really unhappy with president obama's health care plan. what you see is this significant concern handling medicare, four years ago republicans would lose that by 25 points. now it's down in low single digits where republicans made significant progress. that is reflected in the medicare poll. >> why are senior citizens in the polls moving away from mitt romney toward barack obama. >> i guess i'm not seeing that in the survey the way you are. when i take a look at issue handlin
if you look at the poll, the one area where you see consistent movement poll after poll after poll toward barack obama has been with senior citizens. you know as well as i do, they are a consistent voting block. they go to the polls in larger percentages. has the obama administration been successful at branding the medicare plan of the republicans as voucher care and are senior citizens moving away because they're afraid of the medicare changes? >> the ryan budget plan existed in terms of...
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the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessing you'll argue with some parts. >> i'm not going to argue with it at all. do you really bel
the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential...
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keep in mind, polls are showing most people think obama will ace the debate. still obama's advisers are concerned about the president's tendency to appear smug, testy, and even impatient. remember what he said to hillary clinton during a primary debate four years ago? >> he's very likable. i agree with that. i don't think i'm that bad. >> you're likable enough, hillary. >> thank you. >> some felt that comment oozed kond sengs. the president is pretty frosty. he says that in the debate, obama has to do something that doesn't come naturally. smile, make his point, be genteel. the talkback question for you today, will president obama beat himself in the debate. facebook.com/carolcnn. your comments later this hour. >>> good morning, and thank you for joining us. i'm carol costello. it's 30 past the hour. just minutes ago, a pennsylvania judge ordered a halt to a state law that requires voters to show a photo i.d. before casting their ballots. critics argue the law unfairly targeted minorities and the poor with just five weeks before the presidential election, the
keep in mind, polls are showing most people think obama will ace the debate. still obama's advisers are concerned about the president's tendency to appear smug, testy, and even impatient. remember what he said to hillary clinton during a primary debate four years ago? >> he's very likable. i agree with that. i don't think i'm that bad. >> you're likable enough, hillary. >> thank you. >> some felt that comment oozed kond sengs. the president is pretty frosty. he says that...
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cnn poll, president obama enjoys a three-point lead. a little while ago, it was a six-point lead. we've been talking to political operatives around the country and they all feel like the race has tightened some. does this make you nervous? >> not at all. i mean, the latest poll in ohio from the columbus dispatch has the president at nine points. senator brown at 10 points. i think here in ohio, if anything, the margin has actually widened in recent days. in the battleground states especially, the president seems to be doing very well. >> so you have no fear that the president peaked too early? >> you always have a little fear. i have great confidence in this president and the campaign. the campaign here in ohio is the strongest i've ever seen. the grassroots effort, the local efforts to get out the vote. i think we're going to do okay. you don't count your chickens before they hatch and we're not going to do that. but we're voting in ohio beginning today. and people stayed up all night, camped out all night here in ohio, waiting to be able to cast their votes this morning. that sh
cnn poll, president obama enjoys a three-point lead. a little while ago, it was a six-point lead. we've been talking to political operatives around the country and they all feel like the race has tightened some. does this make you nervous? >> not at all. i mean, the latest poll in ohio from the columbus dispatch has the president at nine points. senator brown at 10 points. i think here in ohio, if anything, the margin has actually widened in recent days. in the battleground states...
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new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything. with us from denver, host of "the daily rundown," chuck todd standing in the dark in denver. chuck, break down the polls for us. >> well, you know, it's been interesting about him. we've got a new poll that comes out tonight. what i've thought interesting about the polls in the last few days, quinnipiac, cnn, they all show the same thing. the president's number, the bounce he got out of the convention, it has not deflated. he is staying in the 49%, 50%. >> granholm. >> the fluidity is in romney's number. romney is anywhere, instead of sitting in the single digits, instead of the low 40s, he's moved
new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything....
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obama has in the most recent polls? you have some enthusiastic people behind you tonight. but president obama has had a good lead in ohio and now it's been opened up in one poll by nine points. are you concerned about overconfidence? the columbus dispatch ohio poll has obama at 51% and romney at 42%. how crucial is early voting when you look at this this number? >> it's very crucial, ed. although i'm pleased the president is up by nine points. it's important folks come out to vote. the final count is when people cast their ballots and not necessarily by the polls. so we can't get overconfident. it's not over until it's over and that's november 6th. but we can start to vote early and start to show our support for president obama. we can show our support for our federal senator sherrod brown and show our support up and down the ticket here in ohio starting tomorrow at 8:00 a.m. and we are here to make sure that our president knows that we have his back, the same way he's had ours in the state of ohio. >> senator, why do y
obama has in the most recent polls? you have some enthusiastic people behind you tonight. but president obama has had a good lead in ohio and now it's been opened up in one poll by nine points. are you concerned about overconfidence? the columbus dispatch ohio poll has obama at 51% and romney at 42%. how crucial is early voting when you look at this this number? >> it's very crucial, ed. although i'm pleased the president is up by nine points. it's important folks come out to vote. the...
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i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because people don't think he's going to win and i think he may well win that first debate and secondly, because he's the more experienced debater. >> well, i think i would caution you a little bit. i think the president, when he has given kind of press interviews, that is a form of being pressed on things so maybe you're not debating another opponent one-on-one, but you are going through the process of answering questions and tough questions and people are not letting you squirm out of things. i think you do have to pull that down a little bit. i do believe that mitt romney has not demonstrated that he's
i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because...
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. 74% of obama voters. that's a virtual tie and extremely or very enthusiastic about voting in november, 65% of republicans. 64% of democrats. does that worry you? in '08, part of the reason the president won was his people were way more enthusiastic than john mccain's. >> we heard enthusiasm on the republicans side last year and that's been erased and now it all comes down to turnout. what's different from past elections is people are voting right now today in iowa. they're starting to vote tomorrow in ohio. our supporters are camped out at polling places and thousands more democrats voted in iowa last week than republicans. that's the way we've built this organization on the ground for the past 500 days. to turn our supporters out. the romney campaign has been betting they can win this thing on the air. we're investing in a ground organization. >> thank you very much to both of you. we'll hit pause there, but we'll be talking to both of you in the next 30 some odd days. >>> and still to come, another camp
. 74% of obama voters. that's a virtual tie and extremely or very enthusiastic about voting in november, 65% of republicans. 64% of democrats. does that worry you? in '08, part of the reason the president won was his people were way more enthusiastic than john mccain's. >> we heard enthusiasm on the republicans side last year and that's been erased and now it all comes down to turnout. what's different from past elections is people are voting right now today in iowa. they're starting to...
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or you're not running that close according to the latest polls? >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention has gone away. it's dissipated and more americans are looking at the romney ryan ticket as one that will address issues and will deliver a plan that has impact on middle class americans, that will bring down taxes for all americans. period. there's only one candidate that's actually talking about raising taxes and there's another candidate, the romney ryan ticket, that will cut taxes for all americans. so i think as we go into this, we'll hear a lot more of that. obviously at the debate and this is the next phase of that campaign. >> mitt romney leads according to
or you're not running that close according to the latest polls? >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention...
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. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious and said well, of course. you know, mitt romney has to be the big winner on this first debate. >> well, i think he was like look, let me keep my credibility in check because he's been watching what has happened to congressman ryan over the course of this campaign. but i think each man has a different thing they need to accomplish. i think for governor romney he needs to have a strong performance. it's not just about one performance for him. his problem is a lack of consistency. he's got to have a good wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday. every day to the election. if you see him give one good perform
. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious...